The first half report card demonstrated improvement from the first quarter. Likewise, the 3 quarters report card shows improvement from the first half.
The Hokies went 2-1 in Q3 of the season, with wins over Wake Forest and Syracuse (both of whom are tied at 64th nationally and 9th in the ACC in terms of SP+).
Entering the final quarter of the season, Virginia Tech is 4-5, 3-2, ranked 66th nationally and 11th in the conference in SP+.
The rest of Virginia Tech’s regular season schedule is manageable:
at Boston College (78th nationally, 13th in the ACC)
vs. NC State (47th nationally, 7th in the ACC)
at Virginia (93rd nationally, 14th in the ACC)
The Hokies are likely to be favored in at least two of their final three games. However, the overall situation remains remarkably similar to what it was at the halfway point in the season.
Neither the offense, nor the defense, are playing at a level sufficient to make six wins a lock. I recommend continuing with the same approach, namely, setting the line for wins at 5.5.
That said, the max (seven wins) is much more likely than the min (four wins), and six is more likely than five.
Virginia Tech Report Card
ACC Report Card
SP+ Percentile Trends
Remaining Opponent Report Cards
Boston College
NC State
Virginia
